Think tank sees Aquino victory, warns of tough job ahead
Posted by akosistella on April 28, 2010
MANILA, Philippines—There is now only a slim chance that no winner will be proclaimed after the May 10 elections but the presidency may not prove to be a light crown to wear for front-running presidential candidate Senator Benigno Aquino III, according to the US-based think tank Global Source.
“In contrast to a failure of automation, which seems almost certain to happen in some parts of the country given the sheer difficulty of the exercise (moving from manual to automated national elections) and the apparent lack of preparedness of the government, a no-proclamation scenario can be no more than a 10 percent chance particularly if there is a convincing lead where a faulty count in parts of the country will not greatly influence the overall result,” Global Source said in a quarterly report on the Philippines dated April 27.
In its commentary, titled “Hope Versus Fear,” Global Source said Aquino as of now appeared to be the most likely to win the presidential race as his widening lead in the past survey was too large a chasm to overcome even with acknowledged superiority of Senator Manuel Villar’s campaign in logistics and political machinery at the local level.
Noynoy confident Villar can’t cut lead
Tacloban City — What command votes? From Maguindanao?
Liberal Party standard-bearer Sen. Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino III yesterday threw this question at the Nacionalista Party as he dismissed its claim that NP presidential candidate Sen. Manuel Villar would still be able to catch up with him come election day.
In press briefing, Aquino described a “a figment of their imagination” Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano’s claim that the NP would still be able to cut down Aquino’s 12 percentage point lead over Villar through the latter’s political machinery and the support of groups that practice block voting.
Still Roxas-Legarda fight
MANILA, Philippines—Another pre-poll survey showed that the vice presidential race was still between Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino’s running mate, Manuel “Mar” Roxas II, and Manuel “Manny” Villar’s partner, Loren Legarda.
Ed Malay, director of The Issues and Advocacy Center (The Center), on Tuesday said Roxas remained in the lead with 37 percent while Legarda claimed second spot with 28 percent.
However, he said, “the campaign of Senator Roxas appeared to have rammed into a concrete wall amidst disturbing reports that a group within the Aquino-Roxas campaign machinery had dumped Roxas in favor of Makati Mayor Jejomar Binay.”